Compliance Issues on the Horizon: Closer Than You Think

E&M changes, opioid crisis among issues profiled in the following forecast

As the commentators who predicted that the Segway would revolutionize travel well know (you can read about that in Time), making predictions about how the world will change is challenging.

When I storm-chase, I think of myself as a better-than-average forecaster. I see a tornado on about 25 percent of chases, meaning I am wrong three out of four times, so I have learned not to be too confident in my predictions about the future. But there are a few major trends already underway that seem likely to continue.   

First, I haven’t worked on a new evaluation and management (E&M) coding appeal in years. A few cases linger on because of the administrative law judge (ALJ) backlog. But despite my love of these disputes, I am not working on any.

Perhaps other lawyers are doing the appeals, or physicians are simply paying the overpayments rather than appealing, but my belief is that E&M audits are simply far less common than they have been in the past. When you factor in the proposed changes from the 2019 Medicare physician fee schedule that will establish one reimbursement rate for codes 99212 through 99214, and another single rate for code 99201 though 99204, I think there will much less emphasis on the coding of physician office visits. External audits are likely to decline, and that may change the need to conduct internal reviews. Of course, it is yet to be seen whether private insurers will adopt Medicare’s approach. 

I have little doubt that opioid-related issues are going to receive the majority of government resources.   Whether examining over-prescription, poor storage, improper disposal, or weak accounting of narcotics, the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) will be busy. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Office of Inspector General (OIG) will likely devote resources to the enforcement of the new Substance Use-Disorder Prevention that Promotes Opioid Recovery and Treatment for Patients and Communities (SUPPORT) Act, which greatly broadens kickback penalties. The law is so broad that as written, it applies to all labs, including hospital and clinical labs that perform tests totally unrelated to drug treatment. That law prohibits a clinical or hospital lab from paying its employees commission or other compensation that is based on revenue generation.

Within the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), there appears to be a definite move toward more reasonable regulation. But regarding the recent government shutdown, we expected new guidance about sharing space in hospital-based departments to have been issued by now. That guidance will presumably be delayed further, but there is a reason for cautious optimism that the trend toward more rational regulation will continue. 

I suspect the trend towards alternative payment systems will also continue, and that is likely to entail a host of unintended and currently unforeseen consequences. Many payment metrics change behavior. For example, when payment is based on smoking cessation, professionals have an incentive to disavow themselves from patients who smoke. It is quite likely that a factor in the opioid crisis was the fact that patient satisfaction surveys emphasized pain management.

As we move to value-based purchasing, we will create surprising new problems. It can be challenging to know every measure that is being used, but if you want to avoid unexpected penalties, it will be vital to mind the metrics. 

Finally, the desire to be compliant and the obligation to refund overpayments will continue to result in organizations needlessly refunding money for technical errors despite the fact that it is not legally required. If your organization would refund money because you shared outpatient space, had unsigned charts, had some unwritten or unsigned orders, or due to a host of other related issues, you may want to watch “How to Avoid Unnecessary Refunds,” on demand here, to ensure you can keep all of the reimbursement to which you are entitled. 

 

Comment on this article

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn

David M. Glaser, Esq.

David M. Glaser is a shareholder in Fredrikson & Byron's Health Law Group. David assists clinics, hospitals, and other health care entities negotiate the maze of healthcare regulations, providing advice about risk management, reimbursement, and business planning issues. He has considerable experience in healthcare regulation and litigation, including compliance, criminal and civil fraud investigations, and reimbursement disputes. David's goal is to explain the government's enforcement position, and to analyze whether this position is supported by the law or represents government overreaching. David is a member of the RACmonitor editorial board and is a popular guest on Monitor Mondays.

Related Stories

Tracking Underpayments

Tracking Underpayments

I am not a proponent of measuring the impact of clinical documentation integrity (CDI) departments by case mix index (CMI) or complication/comorbidity capture rates (CCs/MCCs).

Read More

Leave a Reply

Please log in to your account to comment on this article.

Featured Webcasts

Mastering OB GYN Coding Accuracy: Precision Coding for Compliance and Reimbursement

Gain clarity and confidence in OB‑GYN coding with this expert‑led webcast featuring Stacey Shillito, CDIP, CPMA, CCS, CCS‑P, CPEDC, COPC. You’ll learn how to apply global maternity package rules accurately, select the right CPT codes for procedures and visits, and identify documentation gaps that lead to denials. With practical guidance and real examples, this session helps you strengthen compliance, reduce audit risk, and ensure accurate reimbursement for women’s health services.

May 14, 2026

2026 ICD-10-CM/PCS Coding Clinic Update Webcast Series

Uncover essential coding insights with nationally recognized coding authority Kay Piper, RHIA, CDIP, CCS. Through ICD10monitor’s interactive, on‑demand webcast series, Kay walks you through the AHA’s 2026 ICD‑10‑CM/PCS Quarterly Coding Clinics, translating each update into practical, easy‑to‑apply guidance designed to sharpen precision, ensure compliance, and strengthen day‑to‑day decision‑making. Available shortly after each official release.

April 13, 2026

2026 ICD-10-CM/PCS Coding Clinic Update: Fourth Quarter

Uncover critical guidance on the ICD-10-CM/PCS code updates. Kay Piper reviews and explains ICD-10-CM/PCS coding guidelines in the AHA’s fourth quarter 2026 ICD-10-CM/PCS Coding Clinic in an easy to access on-demand webcast.

December 14, 2026

2026 ICD-10-CM/PCS Coding Clinic Update: Third Quarter

Uncover critical guidance on the ICD-10-CM/PCS code updates. Kay Piper reviews and explains ICD-10-CM/PCS coding guidelines in the AHA’s third quarter 2026 ICD-10-CM/PCS Coding Clinic in an easy to access on-demand webcast.

October 12, 2026

Trending News

Featured Webcasts

Compliance for the Inpatient Psychiatric Facility (IPF-PPS): Minimizing Federal Audit Findings by Strengthening Best Practices

Federal auditors are intensifying their focus on inpatient psychiatric facilities, using advanced data analytics to spotlight outliers and pursue high‑dollar repayments. In this high‑impact webcast, Michael Calahan, PA, MBA, Compliance Officer and V.P., Hospital & Physician Compliance, breaks down what regulators are really targeting in IPF-PPS admissions, documentation, treatment and discharge planning. Attendees will learn practical steps to tighten processes, avoid common audit triggers and protect reimbursement and reduce the risk of multimillion-dollar repayment demands.

April 9, 2026

Mastering MDM for Accurate Professional Fee Coding

In this timely session, Stacey Shillito, CDIP, CPMA, CCS, CCS-P, CPEDC, COPC, breaks down the complexities of Medical Decision Making (MDM) documentation so providers can confidently capture the true complexity of their care. Attendees will learn practical, efficient strategies to ensure documentation aligns with current E/M guidelines, supports accurate coding, and reduces audit risk, all without adding to charting time.

March 31, 2026

The PEPPER Returns – Risk and Opportunity at Your Fingertips

Join Ronald Hirsch, MD, FACP, CHCQM for The PEPPER Returns – Risk and Opportunity at Your Fingertips, a practical webcast that demystifies the PEPPER and shows you how to turn complex claims data into actionable insights. Dr. Hirsch will explain how to interpret key measures, identify compliance risks, uncover missed revenue opportunities, and understand new updates in the PEPPER, all to help your organization stay ahead of audits and use this powerful data proactively.

March 19, 2026

Top 10 Audit Targets for 2026-2027 for Hospitals & Physicians: Protect Your Revenue

Stay ahead of the 2026-2027 audit surge with “Top 10 Audit Targets for 2026-2027 for Hospitals & Physicians: Protect Your Revenue,” a high-impact webcast led by Michael Calahan, PA, MBA. This concise session gives hospitals and physicians clear insight into the most likely federal audit targets, such as E/M services, split/shared and critical care, observation and admissions, device credits, and Two-Midnight Rule changes, and shows how to tighten documentation, coding, and internal processes to reduce denials, recoupments, and penalties. Attendees walk away with practical best practices to protect revenue, strengthen compliance, and better prepare their teams for inevitable audits.

January 29, 2026

Trending News

Celebrate Lab Week with MedLearn! Sign up to win one year of our Laboratory All Access Pass! Click here to learn more →

Happy National Doctor’s Day! Learn how to get a complimentary webcast on ‘Decoding Social Admissions’ as a token of our heartfelt appreciation! Click here to learn more →

BLOOM INTO SAVINGS! Get 25% OFF during our spring sale through March 27. Use code SPRING26 at checkout to claim this offer.

CYBER WEEK IS HERE! Don’t miss your chance to get 20% off now until Dec. 1 with code CYBER25

CYBER WEEK IS HERE! Don’t miss your chance to get 20% off now until Dec. 2 with code CYBER24