Administrative Law Judges Discard Medicare Extrapolations Excluding Zero-Paid Claims

If overpayments are found, then the extrapolation recoupment number will go up; if underpayments are found, the extrapolation will go down.

EDITOR’S NOTE: This is Part II in a RACmonitor exclusive three-part series that exposes how some auditors can skew the universe of claims to their advantage by hiding zero-paid claims.

A review of recent administrative law judge (ALJ) decisions uncovered a number of Medicare statistical extrapolations being discarded because the samplings had screened out zero-paid claims.

These decisions are consistent with the letter and intent of the Medicare Program Integrity Manual (MPIM), but go against a common practice allowing auditors to bias extrapolations against healthcare providers.

When claims are submitted for payment, some are paid; some are not. Those claims submitted but not paid are known as “zero-paid claims.” § 8.4.4.4. of the MPIM requires identification of all underpayments. Also, § 8.4.5.2 requires all underpayments to be recorded as negative overpayments.

Audit recovery contractors have long fallen into the habit of screening out all zero-paid claims up front. This step in the statistical methodology is often hidden from the provider, and referred to only obliquely. The contractors present what’s left over as the “universe” file, but it is not the true universe. The auditor in fact takes its sample from a pseudo-universe.

Why Most Audits are Biased
In a recent RACmonitor article, we wrote…“this practice of hiding the zero-paid claims has gone on for years and it needs to stop.”

The contractors never report the details of this sneaky procedure. During the appeals process, when the healthcare provider receives from the contractor documentation about the statistical methodology, it already is too late to see what has happened, because these zero-paid claims have been hidden away before statistical sampling started. Any third-party neutral expert called in by the healthcare provider to review the contractor’s statistical work also is left in the dark.

Yet as noted, recent ALJ decisions have started to recognize this problem. In a recent ruling, an ALJ wrote:

“The MPIM requires universes and frames to include unpaid services in at least 12 different sections. But the frame generated by [the contractor] only included services for which the amount paid was greater than zero. … For this reason alone, the extrapolation in the audit … is invalid.”

In another decision, another ALJ wrote:

“The ZPIC (Zone Program Integrity Contractor) failed to include zero-paid service lines in violation of the MPIM; MPIM Chapter 8, § 8.4.3.2.1, regarding the composition on the universe of claims, cannot be interpreted to allow the removal of the unpaid or zero-paid service lines from the universe.”

It is perhaps too early to rest easy. Since this abusive practice has been so commonplace, auditors have grown used to employing it as a matter of standard practice. Someone is sure to appeal these decisions, because so much work done by the auditors is at stake – and so much commission revenue is to be skimmed off from the recoupment payments. 

Nevertheless, for the time being, this represents a positive trend towards fairness in the Medicare statistical extrapolation process.

Programming Note: Listen to the live reporting of Edward M. Roche this coming Monday on Monitor Mondays, 10 Eastern.

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn

Edward M. Roche, PhD, JD

Edward Roche is the director of scientific intelligence for Barraclough NY, LLC. Mr. Roche is also a member of the California Bar. Prior to his career in health law, he served as the chief research officer of the Gartner Group, a leading ICT advisory firm. He was chief scientist of the Concours Group, both leading IT consulting and research organizations. Mr. Roche is a member of the RACmonitor editorial board as an investigative reporter and is a popular panelist on Monitor Mondays.

Related Stories

Part 1: The Game Has Changed

Part 1: The Game Has Changed

EDITOR’S NOTE: Senior healthcare analyst Frank Cohen begins a three-part series about auditing in the algorithmic environment. Something has changed in healthcare compliance, and if

Read More

Leave a Reply

Please log in to your account to comment on this article.

Featured Webcasts

AI, Audits, and the Future of the Revenue Cycle

Artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming healthcare revenue cycle operations, from coding and auditing to compliance and denials. Join industry leaders Pam Warren (MaineHealth) and Raemarie Jimenez (AAPC) for a live fireside chat exploring how AI is changing workflows, workforce roles, payer-provider dynamics, and compliance risk—and what organizations should be doing now to prepare.

June 17, 2026

Trending News

Featured Webcasts

Ask Dr. Hirsch: Clarifying Medicare’s Most Misunderstood Rules – Part 2

Medicare regulations are complex and even seasoned professionals struggle to apply them consistently. Due to overwhelming demand, Dr. Hirsch returns for Part 2 of Ask Dr. Hirsch: Clarifying Medicare’s Most Misunderstood Rules to answer even more of Medicare’s most misunderstood questions, covering inpatient status, observation, SNF access, Medicare Advantage denials, and more. Join Dr. Hirsch as he provides clear, referenced answers to real-world questions submitted by your peers, helping you navigate Medicare compliance with confidence and clarity.

June 18, 2026

Reengineering Utilization Management: Building an Adaptive Model for the New Payer Era

Traditional utilization management models can no longer keep pace with regulatory shifts, payer scrutiny, and operational pressures. In this webcast, Tiffany Ferguson, LMSW, CMAC, ACM, ACPA-C, introduces an Adaptive Model strategy that modernizes UM through role specialization, technology-driven workflows, and proactive, team-based processes. Attendees will learn how to restructure programs to improve efficiency, strengthen clinical collaboration, and enhance financial performance in a rapidly changing healthcare environment.

May 20, 2026

Compliance for the Inpatient Psychiatric Facility (IPF-PPS): Minimizing Federal Audit Findings by Strengthening Best Practices

Federal auditors are intensifying their focus on inpatient psychiatric facilities, using advanced data analytics to spotlight outliers and pursue high‑dollar repayments. In this high‑impact webcast, Michael Calahan, PA, MBA, Compliance Officer and V.P., Hospital & Physician Compliance, breaks down what regulators are really targeting in IPF-PPS admissions, documentation, treatment and discharge planning. Attendees will learn practical steps to tighten processes, avoid common audit triggers and protect reimbursement and reduce the risk of multimillion-dollar repayment demands.

April 9, 2026

Mastering MDM for Accurate Professional Fee Coding

In this timely session, Stacey Shillito, CDIP, CPMA, CCS, CCS-P, CPEDC, COPC, breaks down the complexities of Medical Decision Making (MDM) documentation so providers can confidently capture the true complexity of their care. Attendees will learn practical, efficient strategies to ensure documentation aligns with current E/M guidelines, supports accurate coding, and reduces audit risk, all without adding to charting time.

March 31, 2026

Trending News

Celebrate Lab Week with MedLearn! Sign up to win one year of our Laboratory All Access Pass! Click here to learn more →

Have a Medicare regulation question you’d love Dr. Hirsch to answer? Now is your chance! CLICK HERE to learn more→

Happy National Doctor’s Day! Learn how to get a complimentary webcast on ‘Decoding Social Admissions’ as a token of our heartfelt appreciation! Click here to learn more →

This Memorial Day, we honor those who gave all for our freedom. Take 20% off sitewide through May 29 with code MEMORIAL26 at checkout

CYBER WEEK IS HERE! Don’t miss your chance to get 20% off now until Dec. 1 with code CYBER25

CYBER WEEK IS HERE! Don’t miss your chance to get 20% off now until Dec. 2 with code CYBER24